Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02e8…bba5
crypto · 66 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$76 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$86 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$86
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses29 / 36
Open positions1
Markets (closed)65 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day81.1
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$86
7 days+$86
14 days+$86
30 days+$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$12 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$53 +458%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $602 +$19 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $601 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $603 +$29 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$83
other 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 38% -5.8%
≤30d 65 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 38% -5.8%
≤90d 65 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 38% -5.8%
all 65 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 38% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 38% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 35% -14.8%
15% -28.4% 35% -23.0%
20% -35.4% 34% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 149 history records