Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02de…b1f9
crypto · 413 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$255 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$251 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$251
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses104 / 307
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)411 / 413
History coverage153d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 411 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$22
14 days−$13
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -47%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$3 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$7 +338%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$5 +434%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$9 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +367%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$165
other 5% −$27
sports 5% −$6
world 3% −$52
weather 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +15.5% +4.5% 31% 29% +11.7%
≤30d 171 -12.9% -21.2% 28% 26% -21.3%
≤90d 243 -19.5% -27.1% 26% 25% -22.8%
all 411 +0.9% -8.7% 25% 24% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 24% -23.7%
10% -17.5% 22% -31.0%
15% -25.4% 21% -37.7%
20% -32.8% 19% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 784 history records