Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02db…8ce2
crypto · 1257 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses754 / 503
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1257 / 1257
History coverage46d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day43.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$9
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$2 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 02 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 02 $18 −$17 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$2 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$2 +181%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -1.9% -11.2% 93% 3% -11.2%
≤30d 1211 -1.7% -11.0% 61% 58% -11.0%
≤90d 1257 -2.5% -11.8% 60% 57% -11.7%
all 1257 -2.5% -11.8% 60% 57% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 57% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 57% -20.2%
15% -28.0% 57% -27.9%
20% -35.0% 43% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2484 history records