Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:53:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02d0…1c13
crypto · 141 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$38 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$25
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses65 / 75
Open positions1
Markets (closed)140 / 141
Avg bet$2
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $24 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$5 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$5 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$8 +393%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$7 +347%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$6 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$38
other 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +10.3% -0.2% 46% 46% +2.5%
≤30d 140 +10.3% -0.2% 46% 46% +2.5%
≤90d 140 +10.3% -0.2% 46% 46% +2.5%
all 140 +10.3% -0.2% 46% 46% +2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.2% 46% +2.5%
10% ← realistic here -9.8% 44% -7.3%
15% -18.5% 41% -16.2%
20% -26.5% 36% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.64 · official $24.64 (match) · 208 history records