Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02c9…5b57
crypto · 58 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses51 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)57 / 58
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day160.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$28
14 days+$28
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 90¢ 88¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +4.7% -5.2% 89% 23% -6.0%
≤30d 57 +4.7% -5.2% 89% 23% -6.0%
≤90d 57 +4.7% -5.2% 89% 23% -6.0%
all 57 +4.7% -5.2% 89% 23% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover160.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 23% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 16% -15.0%
15% -22.6% 12% -23.2%
20% -30.2% 7% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.36 · official $7.88 · 212 history records