Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:41:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02c4…37b4
crypto · 107 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$636 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$660 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$69
Realized−$660
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses39 / 64
Open positions4
Markets (closed)103 / 107
History coverage72d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 52¢ $20 $52 +$32 (+162%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 33¢ 42¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$30 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 29 $78 −$74 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 29 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 29 $109 −$55 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 29 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Apr 29 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Apr 29 $33 −$20 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$13 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Apr 29 $22 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$19 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Apr 29 $23 +$31 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$15 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 29 $13 −$8 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$21 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Apr 29 $23 +$25 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Apr 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Apr 29 $31 +$46 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 29 $27 −$20 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Apr 29 $23 +$27 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 29 $42 +$43 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 29 $42 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 29 $23 +$34 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 29 $52 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Apr 29 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 29 $57 −$44 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 29 $57 +$54 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Apr 29 $69 −$11 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 29 $57 −$5 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$669
other 1% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -4.5% -13.6% 50% 50% +2.5%
≤30d 18 -4.5% -13.6% 50% 50% +2.5%
≤90d 103 -19.3% -27.0% 38% 38% -31.9%
all 103 -19.3% -27.0% 38% 38% -31.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.0% 38% -31.9%
10% -34.0% 38% -38.4%
15% -40.3% 35% -44.4%
20% -46.2% 30% -49.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.25 · official $76.27 · 208 history records