trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +94.5% | +76.0% | 50% | 10% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +94.5% | +76.0% | 50% | 10% | -8.7% |
| all | 25 | +38.0% | +24.8% | 40% | 4% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +24.8% | 4% | -8.8% |
| 10% | +12.9% | 4% | -17.5% |
| 15% | +2.0% | 4% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -8.0% | 4% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $53 | $52 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 17 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $27 | +$1 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $55 | −$3 | -6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $47 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $57 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 23 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 21 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 21 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $19 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July? | Jun 04 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the elect | Jun 03 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 02 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | May 31 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series? | May 29 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | May 29 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%? | May 28 | $22 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 24 | $22 | $0 | +1% |