Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02bc…3fa7
crypto · 368 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,121 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$750 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$750
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses165 / 259
Open positions1
Markets (closed)424 / 368
History coverage8d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day418.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$549
7 days−$646
14 days−$750
30 days−$750
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 75¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-33.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 268 -38.7% -44.6% 34% 22% -22.2%
≤30d 424 -26.3% -33.3% 39% 24% -17.4%
≤90d 424 -26.3% -33.3% 39% 24% -17.4%
all 424 -26.3% -33.3% 39% 24% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover418.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.3% 24% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -39.7% 9% -25.3%
15% -45.5% 6% -32.6%
20% -50.9% 4% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.46 · official $2.00 (match) · 3500 history records