Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02b6…e113
weather · 783 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$77 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$76
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses666 / 107
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions10
Markets (closed)773 / 783
History coverage69d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 10 History 773 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$11
14 days−$23
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15? Yes 35¢ 38¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 15? Yes 36¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? No 73¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? Yes 38¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 10? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24? No 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner LNG Esports 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 10? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 11? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 15? Jun 13 $1 $0 -42%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 13 $51 +$5 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 -19%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14? Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on June 1 Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -51%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 65% −$3
crypto 27% −$39
sports 5% −$8
other 2% −$30
world 1% +$3
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? SELL Yes 40¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 45¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 15? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 11h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 36¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? SELL Yes 37¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 11h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 11h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL Yes 100¢ $56 12h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 12h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 12h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 12h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 14h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 82¢ $10 14h
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 14h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 14h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14? SELL Yes 36¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14? SELL Yes 36¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $10 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -6.3% -15.2% 75% 5% -8.1%
≤30d 708 -2.6% -11.9% 91% 3% -10.8%
≤90d 773 -3.1% -12.4% 86% 5% -12.0%
all 773 -3.1% -12.4% 86% 5% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 5% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 2% -20.4%
15% -28.4% 1% -28.1%
20% -35.4% 1% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.16 · official $9.16 (match) · 2152 history records