Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02ab…0f92
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -50%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 18h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-99.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -99.6% -99.7% 0% 0% -99.8%
≤30d 2 -99.6% -99.7% 0% 0% -99.8%
≤90d 2 -99.6% -99.7% 0% 0% -99.8%
all 2 -99.6% -99.7% 0% 0% -99.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -99.7% 0% -99.8%
10% -99.7% 0% -99.8%
15% -99.7% 0% -99.8%
20% -99.8% 0% -99.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.93 · official $13.93 (match) · 5 history records