trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 20% | 20% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 76% | 5% | -11.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 77% | 5% | -11.1% |
| all | 22 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 77% | 5% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 5% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 0% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $306 | $306 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | $14 | $14 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $13 | $14 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $11 | $11 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $11 | $11 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $11 | $11 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+13%) |
| Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | Jun 18 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | Jun 16 | $14 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? | Jun 16 | $197 | $0 | -0% |
| Will GIANTX win LEC 2026 Spring? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $120 in May? | Jun 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in May? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will BNB reach $900 in May? | Jun 01 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? | Jun 01 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 31? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3? | Jun 01 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 31 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May? | May 30 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 26? | May 26 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 25 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier | May 24 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 15 | $11 | $0 | +0% |