Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x029a…27fb
crypto · 1674 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$106 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$105 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$105
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses800 / 789
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1589 / 1674
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day667.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1589 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$431
7 days−$105
14 days−$105
30 days−$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+90%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+122%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 56¢ 77¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$688
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1589 +6.3% -3.8% 50% 50% -11.0%
≤30d 1589 +6.3% -3.8% 50% 50% -11.0%
≤90d 1589 +6.3% -3.8% 50% 50% -11.0%
all 1589 +6.3% -3.8% 50% 50% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover667.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 50% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.0% 48% -19.5%
15% -21.4% 47% -27.3%
20% -29.1% 46% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.88 · official $28.52 (match) · 3500 history records