Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:55:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0290…fdc5
sports · 194 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses5 / 189
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 194
History coverage160d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $24 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 06 $22 $0 -1%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? May 26 $22 $0 -0%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 18 $19 $0 -2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Mar 02 $346 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Mar 02 $96 $0 -0%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Mar 02 $75 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Mar 02 $183 $0 -0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Mar 02 $319 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 02 $174 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 02 $92 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 02 $195 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 02 $40 $0 -0%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 02 $188 $0 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 02 $63 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Mar 02 $196 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 02 $100 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 02 $37 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Mar 02 $50 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 02 $261 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 02 $170 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 02 $156 $0 -0%
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 02 $25 $0 -0%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 02 $174 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Mar 02 $207 $0 -0%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 02 $57 $0 -0%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 02 $30 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Mar 02 $39 $0 -0%
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? Mar 02 $25 $0 -0%
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 02 $2 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Mar 02 $247 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 02 $61 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Mar 02 $28 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Mar 02 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Mar 02 $153 $0 -0%
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 02 $28 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 02 $24 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 02 $183 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Mar 02 $12 $0 -0%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 02 $129 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 02 $105 $0 -0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 02 $34 $0 -0%
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? Mar 02 $35 $0 -1%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? Mar 02 $61 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me Mar 02 $66 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Mar 02 $139 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Mar 02 $124 −$1 -1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Mar 02 $102 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 02 $190 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 31% −$5
other 21% −$5
politics 18% −$3
economics 10% −$1
culture 7% −$2
world 7% −$1
crypto 5% −$6
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $24 1h
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $24 8h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? SELL No 93¢ $22 7d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 93¢ $22 8d
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 95¢ $22 18d
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 95¢ $22 18d
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 90¢ $18 26d
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 91¢ $19 26d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $25 103d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $25 103d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? SELL No 96¢ $22 103d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? BUY No 96¢ $22 103d
Will France win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 94¢ $27 103d
Will France win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 94¢ $27 103d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $29 103d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $29 103d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee SELL Yes 97¢ $29 103d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee BUY Yes 97¢ $29 103d
Will France win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 94¢ $21 103d
Will France win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 94¢ $21 103d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $30 103d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $30 103d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $32 103d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $32 103d
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL No 95¢ $25 103d
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY No 95¢ $25 103d
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL No 94¢ $32 103d
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY No 94¢ $32 103d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $30 103d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $31 103d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 4 -0.7% -10.1% 0% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 4 -0.7% -10.1% 0% 0% -10.1%
all 194 -0.4% -9.9% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 881 history records