Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:51:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x028b…4a07 crypto 1083 markets active 1h ago coverage 60d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 59d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$596 (+1%) realized +$596 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate77%833W / 250L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day43.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$88
7 days+$94
14 days+$214
30 days+$480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$916
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +0.1% -9.4% 69% 62% -4.0%
≤30d 378 +2.8% -7.0% 74% 57% -5.2%
≤90d 1083 +1.1% -8.5% 77% 53% -11.2%
all 1083 +1.1% -8.5% 77% 53% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 53% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 29% -19.7%
15% -25.2% 15% -27.5%
20% -32.6% 8% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$35 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$596
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses833 / 250
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1083 / 1083
History coverage60d ⚠
Avg bet$45
Trades / day43.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1083 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $14 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$11 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$7 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$3 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$21 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$20 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$7 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$5 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$7 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$16 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$10 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$4 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$15 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$8 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$26 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$27 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$8 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$11 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$9 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$12 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $38 +$23 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$15 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$9 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$13 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$16 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $40 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $30 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $15 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $16 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $24 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $22 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $40 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $13 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records