Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:55:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x028a…e2bf
crypto · 548 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses255 / 293
Open positions0
Markets (closed)548 / 548
History coverage88d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$22
14 days+$12
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22) Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$35
economics 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 143 -5.6% -14.6% 48% 48% -16.5%
≤30d 511 -5.8% -14.8% 48% 47% -11.6%
≤90d 548 -8.2% -17.0% 47% 45% -13.7%
all 548 -8.2% -17.0% 47% 45% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 45% -13.7%
10% -24.9% 43% -21.9%
15% -32.2% 40% -29.5%
20% -38.8% 40% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.02 (match) · 808 history records