Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T01:27:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x0288…a99e crypto 71 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$29 (-8%) realized −$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate51%36W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day117.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (117 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -13.5% -21.8% 51% 45% -18.6%
≤30d 71 -13.5% -21.8% 51% 45% -18.6%
≤90d 71 -13.5% -21.8% 51% 45% -18.6%
all 71 -13.5% -21.8% 51% 45% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover117.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 45% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 25% -26.4%
15% -36.1% 15% -33.5%
20% -42.4% 6% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses36 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day117.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 71 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$3 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$3 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$3 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $7 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $6 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.89 · official $0.00 (match) · 144 history records