trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +135.0% | +112.6% | 30% | 30% | +14.4% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +81.2% | +64.0% | 33% | 33% | +7.6% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +50.0% | +35.7% | 28% | 28% | -12.8% |
| all | 29 | +50.0% | +35.7% | 28% | 28% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +35.7% | 28% | -12.8% |
| 10% | +22.7% | 24% | -21.1% |
| 15% | +10.8% | 24% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -0.0% | 21% | -35.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $300 | $293 | −$7 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $220 | $141 | −$79 (-36%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $77 | −$23 (-23%) |
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 80¢ | $30 | $70 | +$40 (+134%) |
| Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$49 | +474% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$33 | +325% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$129 | +1251% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $31 | +$76 | +249% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$4 | -8% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$85 | +413% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $103 | +$14 | +13% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$61 | +596% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$9 | -9% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $151 | +$66 | +44% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 03 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | Mar 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Mar 30 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30? | Mar 30 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |