Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:08:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x027d…7f17
other · 240 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$85 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses15 / 225
Whale WR (big bets)8%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage128d
Avg bet$237
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$15
14 days−$25
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $592 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $134 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $65 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $133 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $847 +$1 +0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $162 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $276 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 11 $313 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $66 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $1,120 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $573 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $196 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $239 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $484 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $263 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $67 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $713 +$1 +0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $653 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $264 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 08 $205 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $293 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $355 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $148 −$2 -1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $549 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $221 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $273 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $584 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $466 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 06 $555 −$2 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $269 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $227 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $623 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $166 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $539 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $305 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $328 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $422 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $350 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $232 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $327 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $390 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $148 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $379 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $646 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? May 30 $516 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $156 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 29 $247 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $421 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $1,043 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $280 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$41
sports 25% −$23
politics 10% −$8
culture 6% −$7
economics 6% −$6
world 4% −$2
crypto 4% −$2
tech 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $65 1h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $65 3h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $65 5h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $65 7h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $65 8h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $65 10h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $65 14h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $65 16h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $65 22h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $65 24h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $65 25h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $65 27h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $65 31h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 32h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $65 35h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $66 36h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 38h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $66 40h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $66 45h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $66 46h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 2d
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 63 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 178 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 240 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1299 history records