Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T05:33:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x025e…f233 crypto 102 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$25 (+2%) realized +$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate96%98W / 4L
Drawdown22%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day89.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 32% -4.7%
≤30d 102 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 32% -4.7%
≤90d 102 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 32% -4.7%
all 102 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 32% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 32% -4.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 4% -13.9%
15% -22.8% 0% -22.2%
20% -30.4% 0% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×4.35 per $1 lost it wins $4.35
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses98 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)102 / 102
History coverage2d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day89.7
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 102 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $42 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $31 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 275 history records