Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:28:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0257…8a02
crypto · 160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$324 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$327 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$305
Realized−$327
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses71 / 67
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions22
Markets (closed)138 / 160
History coverage93d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 22 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$235
7 days−$253
14 days−$253
30 days−$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $40 $49 +$9 (+23%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $40 $37 −$3 (-8%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 70¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 79¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-11%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+12%)
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 10¢ 14¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+35%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 24¢ 22¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-38%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 25¢ 25¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-19%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 84¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-20%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $114 −$106 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $110 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $61 −$60 -99%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $116 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $208 +$61 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $316 −$91 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $7 +$3 +39%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -52%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $106 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +119%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $30 −$14 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$219
other 17% −$107
world 3% −$1
sports 3% +$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3m
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3m
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3m
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3m
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 11m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 14¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 14¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $41 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $26 10h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $12 10h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 10h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -27.6% -34.5% 50% 30% -22.3%
≤30d 54 -27.6% -34.5% 50% 30% -22.3%
≤90d 101 -21.3% -28.8% 50% 31% -19.2%
all 138 -17.6% -25.4% 51% 36% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.4% 36% -17.3%
10% -32.6% 25% -25.2%
15% -39.1% 17% -32.4%
20% -45.0% 12% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $305.42 · official $305.43 (match) · 416 history records