Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:38:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0255…4eb0
crypto · 495 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14,451 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,408 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,778
Realized−$14,408
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses276 / 142
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions77
Markets (closed)418 / 495
History coverage77d
Avg bet$308
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 77 History 418 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days−$0
14 days+$143
30 days+$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $85 $84 −$1 (-1%)
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 72¢ $72 $71 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 70¢ $72 $70 −$2 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 79¢ 80¢ $55 $56 +$1 (+2%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $51 $50 −$1 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $56 $48 −$8 (-14%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $52 $48 −$3 (-7%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ 76¢ $46 $45 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5 Over 91¢ 90¢ $46 $45 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 83¢ 81¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 76¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 76¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Over 78¢ 76¢ $39 $38 −$1 (-2%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 74¢ $38 $37 −$0 (-1%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 74¢ $37 $37 −$1 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 74¢ $37 $37 −$1 (-1%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 72¢ $37 $36 −$1 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 72¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 69¢ $36 $35 −$1 (-3%)
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Over 66¢ 66¢ $33 $33 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 65¢ $35 $32 −$2 (-7%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $32 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Over 60¢ 60¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $21 +$9 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $35 +$15 +42%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $14 +$6 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $36 +$14 +40%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -20%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $22 +$8 +37%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $23 +$7 +31%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $21 +$9 +46%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 +$10 +50%
Croatia vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $16 +$4 +26%
Finland vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $22 +$8 +36%
Sweden vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $22 +$8 +36%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $44 +$16 +36%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $23 +$7 +32%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $21 +$9 +40%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$15 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$7 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 09 $30 +$15 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 09 $20 +$2 +11%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $44 −$23 -52%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $17 −$17 -98%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $45 −$22 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$7 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 08 $51 +$13 +25%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 08 $23 −$22 -98%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $11 −$11 -96%
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $18 −$1 -4%
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $14 −$1 -5%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $12 +$8 +70%
Will Thailand vs. Kuwait end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 +$15 +276%
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -98%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 05 $13 −$1 -8%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 05 $16 −$1 -8%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$14,496
other 1% −$92
sports 1% +$154
finance 1% −$53
world 0% +$128
politics 0% −$85
tech 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $24 54m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $36 58m
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $39 1h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 77¢ $39 1h
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 91¢ $46 1h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $35 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $23 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $22 1h
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $22 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $18 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $19 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 83¢ $17 3h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $14 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 4h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $15 4h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $15 4h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $15 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $15 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 79¢ $16 4h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $33 5h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $15 5h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 60¢ $30 5h
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $22 5h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 77¢ $39 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 83¢ $25 5h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $20 5h
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $29 5h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $16 5h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $21 5h
Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -3.5% -12.7% 64% 64% -9.4%
≤30d 70 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 46% -7.5%
≤90d 418 -7.3% -16.1% 66% 39% -18.2%
all 418 -7.3% -16.1% 66% 39% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 39% -18.2%
10% -24.1% 23% -26.0%
15% -31.5% 16% -33.2%
20% -38.2% 8% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,778.06 · official $1,778.11 (match) · 3362 history records