Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0246…4eda
other · 1342 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$45 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$46 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized+$46
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1333 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1338 / 1342
History coverage90d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 4 History 1338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$7
14 days+$23
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) EDward Gaming 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs MOUZ (+9.5) MOUZ 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) Legacy 99¢ 50¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Vaasan Palloseura 2 - 3 Kuopion Palloseura? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: RUSTEC (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 3 - 1 AC Oulu? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 3 - 2 AC Oulu? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Oxuji Esports (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will California Black Bears finish in 1st place at the Major League Pi Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Tomljanovic Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Gokpinar vs. Mckennon: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Iatcenko vs Tikhonova Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Antonee Robinson: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Sergiño Dest: 1+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Malik Tillman: 1+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will Future perform "LIL DEMON" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Jeff McNeil: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Jo Adell: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Mauricio Magalhães: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Joey Loperfido: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Mexico" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will the announcers say "Canada" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Worl Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Audax CS Italiano 2 - 3 CD La Serena? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America O Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Liam Millar: 1+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Liam Millar: 5+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Wen vs. Shinozuka: Total Games O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% +$9
sports 47% +$33
politics 1% +$1
world 1% $0
weather 1% $0
crypto 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) BUY Legacy 99¢ $3 5m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 5m
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) BUY EDward Gaming 100¢ $5 10m
Exact Score: Vaasan Palloseura 2 - 3 Kuopion Palloseura? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs MOUZ (+9.5) BUY MOUZ 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 3 - 2 AC Oulu? BUY No 100¢ $4 3h
Exact Score: FC Inter Turku 3 - 1 AC Oulu? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: RUSTEC (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) BUY HEROIC Academy 100¢ $5 4h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Oxuji Esports (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) BUY Oxuji Esports 100¢ $5 4h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) BUY Natus Vincere 100¢ $5 4h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 4h
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 BUY No 97¢ $5 5h
Yokoi vs. Chen: Total Games O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 6h
Will California Black Bears finish in 1st place at the Major League Pi BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 7h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7h
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 7h
Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Tomljanovic BUY Tomljanovic 100¢ $5 7h
Gokpinar vs. Mckennon: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 8h
Set 2 Winner: Iatcenko vs Tikhonova BUY Iatcenko 100¢ $5 8h
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 10h
Antonee Robinson: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Sergiño Dest: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Malik Tillman: 1+ assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 11h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 2% -9.0%
≤30d 551 +2.5% -7.3% 100% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 1338 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 1% -8.9%
all 1338 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 1% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 1% -8.9%
10% -17.2% 0% -17.6%
15% -25.2% 0% -25.6%
20% -32.6% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.40 · official $21.40 (match) · 3037 history records