Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:21:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0217…627d
crypto · 566 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$241 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$703 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$703
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses241 / 363
Open positions0
Markets (closed)604 / 566
History coverage90d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day35.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 604 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$222
7 days−$225
14 days−$233
30 days−$295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+73%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$5 -809%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +293%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$11 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -404%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$11 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$5 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$30 -222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$6 -292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$12 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$48 -211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$7 -293%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$487
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -19.8% -27.5% 32% 32% -25.3%
≤30d 91 -22.4% -29.8% 30% 25% -19.5%
≤90d 604 -10.4% -18.9% 40% 33% -17.5%
all 604 -10.4% -18.9% 40% 33% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 33% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 25% -25.4%
15% -33.8% 18% -32.6%
20% -40.3% 12% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.32 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records