Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:12:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0209…2f35
crypto · 2021 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$345 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1386 / 551
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1937 / 2021
History coverage20d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day108.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 1937 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$31
14 days+$46
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 97¢ 84¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 97¢ 84¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 97¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 98¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -414%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -288%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -2269%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -150%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -900%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 26? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -560%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 20? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -3512%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -845%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$92
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 968 +2.0% -7.7% 73% 69% -11.0%
≤30d 1937 +1.8% -7.9% 72% 68% -9.3%
≤90d 1937 +1.8% -7.9% 72% 68% -9.3%
all 1937 +1.8% -7.9% 72% 68% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 68% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 61% -17.9%
15% -24.8% 43% -25.9%
20% -32.1% 21% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.45 · official $2.91 (match) · 3500 history records