Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:09:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x0204…521b crypto 1834 markets active 2d ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (258 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$52 (-1%) realized −$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate76%1627W / 501L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day257.9pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,231
7 days−$1,902
14 days−$1,716
30 days−$1,716
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% +$360
other 22% +$56
sports 3% +$64
world 2% −$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (258 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1543 -23.5% -30.8% 69% 21% -29.0%
≤30d 2128 -15.5% -23.5% 76% 23% -21.7%
≤90d 2128 -15.5% -23.5% 76% 23% -21.7%
all 2128 -15.5% -23.5% 76% 23% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover257.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.5% 23% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.8% 10% -29.2%
15% -37.5% 3% -36.0%
20% -43.7% 1% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
66% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -36% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$6 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1627 / 501
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2128 / 1834
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day257.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2128 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $37 −$37 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 5¢ $70 36h
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 55¢ $22 39h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Saigon Warriors 5¢ $2 40h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Saigon Warriors 5¢ $0 40h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Saigon Warriors 5¢ $18 40h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Saigon Warriors 5¢ $5 40h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Saigon Warriors 5¢ $0 40h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Saigon Warriors 5¢ $0 40h
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports Challenger 2¢ $10 40h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 15¢ $200 45h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 3¢ $2 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $25 2d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY ex-RUBY 1¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY ex-RUBY 1¢ $0 2d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY ex-RUBY 1¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY ex-RUBY 1¢ $0 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $3 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $0 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $10 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $1 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $0 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $3 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $0 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $0 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $1 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $2 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $5 2d
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $0 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 1¢ $5 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 1¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records