Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:31:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01e0…0de3
crypto · 511 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$460 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$460 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$460
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses213 / 298
Open positions0
Markets (closed)511 / 511
History coverage16d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day192.0
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 511 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days+$265
14 days+$220
30 days+$460
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 18¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 40¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 39¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 26¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 24¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 24¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 54¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 13¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 32¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 14¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 35¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET Up $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 58¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 42¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$40 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$18 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$40 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$41 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$40 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$31 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$24 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$15 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$25 +428%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$22 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $49 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$13 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$10 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$14 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$7 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$4 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +1.1% -8.5% 37% 34% +5.3%
≤30d 511 -8.5% -17.2% 42% 41% -4.2%
≤90d 511 -8.5% -17.2% 42% 41% -4.2%
all 511 -8.5% -17.2% 42% 41% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover192.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 41% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 40% -13.3%
15% -32.4% 38% -21.7%
20% -39.0% 33% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3353 history records