Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01d2…7489
other · 36 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$8 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses32 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)32 / 36
History coverage4d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 4 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 98¢ 99¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14? No 97¢ 97¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 91¢ 90¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 13? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Antonio Sanabria: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 CR Brasil? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Dota 2: NGNB vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Open Quali Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Dota 2: NGNB vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Marcell Ozuna: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 3 - 0 Landskrona BoIS? Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 1 - 3 Landskrona BoIS? Jun 11 $7 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 0 - 2 Landskrona BoIS? Jun 11 $7 $0 +4%
Will PPI YoY be between 4.0% and 4.9% in May? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Will PPI YoY be at least 8.0% in May? Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Ceará SC 3 - 1 Avaí FC? Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) Jun 11 $7 +$1 +10%
Exact Score: Goiás EC 3 - 1 Grêmio Novorizontino? Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Varbergs BoIS 2 - 1 Norrby IF? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Varbergs BoIS 2 - 2 Norrby IF? Jun 10 $6 $0 +5%
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $7 +$1 +7%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in May? Jun 10 $7 $0 +1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May? Jun 10 $7 $0 +2%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Venezuela? Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 1 Venezuela? Jun 10 $7 $0 +6%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 0 Venezuela? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% +$4
weather 25% +$1
sports 22% +$2
economics 6% $0
world 3% $0
tech 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $7 49m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14? BUY No 91¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $7 21h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $6 22h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $7 24h
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June BUY No 94¢ $7 29h
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' BUY No 98¢ $7 31h
Antonio Sanabria: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 98¢ $7 32h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 99¢ $6 36h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $7 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $6 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $6 2d
Dota 2: NGNB vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Game Master 96¢ $7 2d
Dota 2: NGNB vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Open Quali BUY Game Master 99¢ $7 2d
Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 99¢ $7 2d
Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 99¢ $7 2d
Marcell Ozuna: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 3 - 0 Landskrona BoIS? BUY No 98¢ $6 2d
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 1 - 3 Landskrona BoIS? BUY No 97¢ $7 2d
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 0 - 2 Landskrona BoIS? BUY No 96¢ $7 2d
Will PPI YoY be at least 8.0% in May? BUY No 99¢ $6 3d
Will PPI YoY be between 4.0% and 4.9% in May? BUY No 99¢ $7 3d
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? BUY No 98¢ $7 3d
Exact Score: Ceará SC 3 - 1 Avaí FC? BUY No 96¢ $6 3d
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $7 3d
Exact Score: Goiás EC 3 - 1 Grêmio Novorizontino? BUY No 98¢ $7 3d
Exact Score: Varbergs BoIS 2 - 1 Norrby IF? BUY No 90¢ $7 3d
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $7 3d
Exact Score: Varbergs BoIS 2 - 2 Norrby IF? BUY No 95¢ $6 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +3.4% -6.5% 100% 3% -6.4%
≤30d 32 +3.4% -6.5% 100% 3% -6.4%
≤90d 32 +3.4% -6.5% 100% 3% -6.4%
all 32 +3.4% -6.5% 100% 3% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.5% 3% -6.4%
10% -15.4% 0% -15.4%
15% -23.6% 0% -23.6%
20% -31.1% 0% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.28 · official $27.28 (match) · 68 history records