Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:53:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
01 0x01af…7073 crypto 1260 markets active 1h ago coverage 69d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 69d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,183 (+0%) realized +$1,183 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate97%1223W / 37L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$235per market
Trades / day30.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$168
14 days−$1,318
30 days−$212
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$423
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +1.4% -8.3% 99% 3% -8.1%
≤30d 362 -0.7% -10.1% 96% 7% -9.6%
≤90d 1260 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 6% -9.4%
all 1260 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 6% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 6% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 2% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$107 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1223 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1260 / 1260
History coverage69d ⚠
Avg bet$235
Trades / day30.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1260 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $196 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $188 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $192 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $195 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $197 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $193 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $191 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $183 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $188 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $187 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $182 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $191 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $190 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $189 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $185 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $185 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $184 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $181 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $180 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $180 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $180 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $178 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $196 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $195 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $188 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $194 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $192 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $189 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $91 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $98 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $92 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $38 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $34 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $195 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $194 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $195 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $109 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $37 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $197 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $193 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $191 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records