Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:04:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01ad…d823
sports · 303 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,026 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,110 · open +$89
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$433
Realized−$1,110
Unrealized+$89
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses87 / 171
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions45
Markets (closed)258 / 303
History coverage582d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 45 History 258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days+$116
30 days+$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 31¢ 65¢ $35 $74 +$39 (+110%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 36¢ 81¢ $30 $67 +$37 (+125%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 18¢ 20¢ $35 $39 +$4 (+13%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 16¢ $25 $37 +$12 (+47%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 3¢ 17¢ $5 $25 +$20 (+400%)
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 26¢ 32¢ $15 $19 +$4 (+26%)
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 11¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+43%)
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $15 $14 −$2 (-10%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 54¢ 47¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-13%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 66¢ 72¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 22¢ 34¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+51%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$3 (-25%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? No 44¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? No 39¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? No 37¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-22%)
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 7¢ 2¢ $15 $4 −$11 (-75%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? No 19¢ 18¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $10 +$4 +36%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $20 +$20 +97%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 07 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Jun 01 $5 −$4 -75%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $50 +$57 +114%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $36 +$46 +129%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $30 +$55 +182%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 25 $20 +$37 +180%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 24 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the May 23 $5 +$7 +144%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 20 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner May 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 12 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 08 $25 −$25 -98%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 08 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 07 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 06 $15 −$6 -37%
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 May 05 $25 −$25 -98%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 04 $15 +$27 +180%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $26 −$25 -98%
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) Apr 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 26 $20 +$20 +99%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 26 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Apr 26 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 25 $45 +$31 +70%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 25 $15 +$8 +51%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $15 +$9 +59%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 25 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Apr 25 $15 −$7 -44%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 25 $232 −$232 -100%
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $45 +$27 +59%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $15 +$52 +344%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 22 $15 +$20 +132%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Apr 19 $45 −$45 -100%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Warriors vs. Suns Apr 19 $35 −$35 -100%
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $25 +$29 +116%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 17 $25 +$25 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$678
other 17% −$24
culture 4% +$63
world 3% −$159
tech 3% −$183
politics 2% −$23
crypto 0% +$7
weather 0% −$20
economics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 37¢ $5 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 51¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 39¢ $5 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 44¢ $5 1h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 19¢ $4 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $4 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 3h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 6h
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 6h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 6h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 4d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 4d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 4d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 4d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 4d
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 4d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 4d
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 4d
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 4d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 4d
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 4d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $7 4d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 4d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 4d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -33.5% -39.8% 40% 40% -21.0%
≤30d 18 -10.8% -19.3% 39% 39% +18.8%
≤90d 100 +0.2% -9.4% 37% 37% -15.3%
all 258 -15.5% -23.5% 34% 33% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.5% 33% -23.5%
10% -30.8% 31% -30.9%
15% -37.5% 30% -37.5%
20% -43.6% 28% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $432.51 · official $432.52 (match) · 761 history records