Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x01a8…e30e
sports · 19 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,385 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$866 · open −$2,518
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$3,896
Realized−$866
Unrealized−$2,518
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses9 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$303
Open positions1
Markets (closed)18 / 19
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1,187
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,031
7 days−$866
14 days−$866
30 days−$866
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 75¢ 46¢ $6,415 $3,896 −$2,518 (-39%)
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery Daria Kasatkina 58¢ $956 $0 −$956 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $4,499 +$1,964 +44%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 10 $596 −$596 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $190 −$190 -100%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $111 +$79 +71%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $336 −$226 -67%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $152 +$185 +122%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $330 −$179 -54%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $607 −$275 -45%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $2,471 −$2,160 -87%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $217 +$285 +132%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $626 −$30 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $383 +$242 +63%
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery Jun 08 $2,241 −$1,824 -81%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 08 $1,138 +$1,104 +97%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $692 +$548 +79%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $557 +$136 +24%
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Yufei Ren Jun 07 $454 +$103 +23%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 07 $486 −$32 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$3,295
other 4% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 74¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $6,458 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $6,463 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $2 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $1,277 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 70¢ $3,220 3h
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 53¢ $190 46h
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $191 46h
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? BUY Yes 57¢ $111 46h
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 17¢ $110 46h
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 51¢ $336 2d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL New York Yankees 97¢ $337 2d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 43¢ $152 2d
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate SELL Juan Bautista Torres 21¢ $151 2d
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate BUY Juan Bautista Torres 44¢ $330 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays SELL Boston Red Sox 25¢ $331 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 44¢ $2 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 44¢ $605 2d
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik SELL Jan-Lennard Struff $104 2d
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 99¢ $502 2d
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 42¢ $217 2d
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik SELL Jan-Lennard Struff $207 2d
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik BUY Jan-Lennard Struff 34¢ $2,471 2d
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 59¢ $1 4d
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 60¢ $594 4d
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard SELL Tommy Paul 50¢ $596 4d
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard BUY Tommy Paul 51¢ $2 4d
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard BUY Tommy Paul 51¢ $624 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce SELL Martin Landaluce 99¢ $625 4d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce BUY Martin Landaluce 60¢ $383 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +4.9% -5.0% 50% 50% -9.5%
≤30d 18 +4.9% -5.0% 50% 50% -9.5%
≤90d 18 +4.9% -5.0% 50% 50% -9.5%
all 18 +4.9% -5.0% 50% 50% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.0% 50% -9.5%
10% -14.1% 50% -18.2%
15% -22.4% 39% -26.1%
20% -30.0% 33% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,896.35 · official $3,981.99 · 45 history records