Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:09:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0198…133b
crypto · 578 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$565 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$565 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$565
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses393 / 185
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)578 / 578
History coverage13d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day242.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 578 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$59
14 days−$565
30 days−$565
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$17 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $61 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $153 −$33 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $202 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $124 −$43 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $152 +$28 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $101 −$42 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $152 −$17 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$533
sports 0% −$32
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 189 -5.6% -14.6% 72% 48% -10.0%
≤30d 578 -2.4% -11.7% 68% 52% -10.8%
≤90d 578 -2.4% -11.7% 68% 52% -10.8%
all 578 -2.4% -11.7% 68% 52% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover242.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 52% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 31% -19.3%
15% -27.9% 16% -27.1%
20% -34.9% 4% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records