trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 100% | 0% | -7.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -30.7% | -37.3% | 50% | 17% | -19.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -43.1% | -48.5% | 33% | 11% | -28.5% |
| all | 9 | -43.1% | -48.5% | 33% | 11% | -28.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.5% | 11% | -28.5% |
| 10% | -53.5% | 0% | -35.4% |
| 15% | -58.0% | 0% | -41.6% |
| 20% | -62.1% | 0% | -47.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $232 | $231 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? | Jun 17 | $228 | +$6 | +3% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $485 | +$10 | +2% |
| Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5) | May 25 | $82 | −$82 | -100% |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31? | May 25 | $94 | +$10 | +11% |
| Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5) | May 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | May 23 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5) | Apr 29 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $27 | −$1 | -4% |
| Dota 2: Winter Bear vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Mar 25 | $95 | −$95 | -100% |