Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x018a…4800
sports · 21 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$117 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72
Realized−$100
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses11 / 8
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions2
Markets (closed)19 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day30.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days−$100
14 days−$100
30 days−$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 61¢ 73¢ $60 $72 +$12 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 36¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 66¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 39¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 58¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $19 −$19 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $143 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $70 +$43 +62%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $65 +$5 +8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $70 −$67 -96%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $52 −$50 -95%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $62 +$4 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $52 +$3 +6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $21 +$34 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $31 +$14 +43%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$37 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$24 +48%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $56 −$55 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$13 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$13 +137%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$20 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$146
other 8% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $63 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 1¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $58 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 54¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 36¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $39 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 61¢ $88 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 66¢ $104 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $113 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 57¢ $70 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $71 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 86¢ $65 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $70 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 46¢ $52 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $66 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $55 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 88¢ $62 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 88¢ $52 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $21 18h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $45 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $38 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $75 20h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $31 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 67¢ $50 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 48¢ $30 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $56 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 25¢ $7 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 5¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $33 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 61¢ $20 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -8.9% -17.6% 58% 37% -20.5%
≤30d 19 -8.9% -17.6% 58% 37% -20.5%
≤90d 19 -8.9% -17.6% 58% 37% -20.5%
all 19 -8.9% -17.6% 58% 37% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 37% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 37% -28.1%
15% -32.7% 37% -35.1%
20% -39.3% 26% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.84 · official $71.84 (match) · 35 history records