Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x017e…d48d
crypto · 27 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses10 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage14d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Endrick: 1+ goals Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Brazil leading at halftime? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Arda Güler: 1+ goals Jun 14 $2 −$2 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -94%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 −$2 -61%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 +$3 +82%
Endrick: 1+ goals Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $6 −$6 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% −$11
other 30% −$8
sports 21% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 28m
Arda Güler: 1+ goals SELL Yes 8¢ $0 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 1h
Arda Güler: 1+ goals BUY Yes 41¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 4h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 4h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 6h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 43¢ $6 6h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 46¢ $3 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 82¢ $7 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 41¢ $6 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-41.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -24.6% -31.7% 43% 43% -28.9%
≤30d 27 -35.3% -41.5% 37% 37% -43.7%
≤90d 27 -35.3% -41.5% 37% 37% -43.7%
all 27 -35.3% -41.5% 37% 37% -43.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -41.5% 37% -43.7%
10% -47.1% 33% -49.1%
15% -52.2% 33% -54.0%
20% -56.9% 26% -58.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 46 history records