trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 25% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 29% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $99 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 21 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 17 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e | May 12 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 08 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 18 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Apr 14 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Apr 10 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | Apr 06 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Mar 24 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 18 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 16 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 14 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 13 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 10 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Mar 05 | $100 | $0 | -0% |