Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0174…e522
crypto · 945 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$165 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses568 / 375
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)943 / 945
History coverage108d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 943 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days−$6
14 days−$17
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31? No 83¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$31 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -79%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 8? Jun 11 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 07 $41 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 07 $86 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 07 $41 −$25 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 07 $100 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 07 $98 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 07 $16 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 07 $46 +$13 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 07 $63 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$1 +32%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6? Jun 07 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6? Jun 07 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 07 $23 −$20 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 54% −$4
crypto 42% −$197
other 2% +$50
world 1% −$8
sports 0% −$9
politics 0% +$2
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -5.7% -14.7% 62% 40% -10.3%
≤30d 451 -13.2% -21.5% 59% 37% -10.7%
≤90d 805 -12.5% -20.9% 62% 34% -11.1%
all 943 -12.5% -20.8% 60% 34% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.8% 34% -12.1%
10% -28.4% 23% -20.5%
15% -35.3% 17% -28.2%
20% -41.7% 12% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.84 · official $34.84 (match) · 2405 history records