Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0162…f21c
crypto · 56 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$246 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$218 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$218
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses23 / 27
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions6
Markets (closed)50 / 56
History coverage9d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 6 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days−$189
14 days−$218
30 days−$218
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+18%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 6? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Heroic 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$19 +1843%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $66 +$9 +14%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$21 +207%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $59 −$57 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $110 −$109 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $89 −$9 -10%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Jun 07 $10 −$1 -14%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $15 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 07 $84 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 07 $16 +$9 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$5 -48%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 07 $104 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 07 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 06 $16 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $16 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 06 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 06 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$15 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 06 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$8 +152%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$11 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$18 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $25 +$6 +23%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $140 −$30 -21%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $65 −$10 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$32
sports 23% −$130
other 21% −$44
weather 1% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $17 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $46 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $76 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $66 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 82¢ $31 45h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 45h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 45h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 0¢ $39 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 2d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $110 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $24 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $24 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +55.1% +40.3% 39% 35% -39.3%
≤30d 50 +24.9% +13.0% 46% 42% -29.3%
≤90d 50 +24.9% +13.0% 46% 42% -29.3%
all 50 +24.9% +13.0% 46% 42% -29.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.0% 42% -29.3%
10% +2.2% 34% -36.1%
15% -7.7% 30% -42.3%
20% -16.8% 26% -47.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.12 · official $51.16 (match) · 159 history records