trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -26.2% | -33.2% | 33% | 33% | -34.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -26.2% | -33.2% | 33% | 33% | -34.8% |
| all | 11 | -38.7% | -44.5% | 18% | 18% | -34.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -44.5% | 18% | -34.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -49.8% | 9% | -41.0% |
| 15% | -54.7% | 9% | -46.7% |
| 20% | -59.1% | 0% | -52.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $9,592 | −$9,538 | -99% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,027 | −$62 | -6% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,025 | −$56 | -6% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $8,742 | +$970 | +11% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $6,094 | +$2,647 | +43% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1,889 | −$1,845 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12AM ET | Nov 11 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Nov 11 | $42 | −$13 | -32% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? | Nov 11 | $53 | −$11 | -21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Nov 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10? | Nov 10 | $63 | −$10 | -15% |