trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -82.3% | -84.0% | 0% | 0% | -46.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +91.5% | +73.2% | 15% | 15% | +27.8% |
| all | 13 | +91.5% | +73.2% | 15% | 15% | +27.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +73.2% | 15% | +27.8% |
| 10% | +56.7% | 15% | +15.6% |
| 15% | +41.5% | 15% | +4.4% |
| 20% | +27.6% | 15% | -5.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-48%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-50%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 4¢ | $8 | $4 | −$4 (-45%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-79%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 09 | $52 | −$6 | -12% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026? | Jun 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026? | Jun 02 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | May 22 | $5 | +$55 | +1053% |
| Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | May 20 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | May 19 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 15 | $10 | +$119 | +1141% |
| Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet? | May 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |