Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:51:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
01 0x014e…cbce crypto 1082 markets active 6h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$409 (-6%) realized −$409 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate36%391W / 691L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day113.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$79
14 days−$130
30 days−$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$380
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -7.5% -16.3% 26% 11% -15.4%
≤30d 1082 -6.7% -15.6% 36% 12% -14.8%
≤90d 1082 -6.7% -15.6% 36% 12% -14.8%
all 1082 -6.7% -15.6% 36% 12% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover113.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 12% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 5% -23.0%
15% -31.1% 3% -30.4%
20% -37.8% 3% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
66% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.41 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$409
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses391 / 691
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1082 / 1082
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day113.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1082 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$4 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records