Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:14:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0148…7eaf
crypto · 128 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$65 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses51 / 77
Open positions0
Markets (closed)128 / 128
History coverage59d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$27
14 days−$32
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$5 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $18 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $8 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -0.7% -10.2% 45% 21% -13.3%
≤30d 73 -0.9% -10.3% 42% 19% -13.4%
≤90d 128 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 20% -17.3%
all 128 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 20% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 20% -17.3%
10% -22.8% 9% -25.2%
15% -30.3% 4% -32.4%
20% -37.1% 2% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 516 history records