Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0146…e924
sports · 93 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$286 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$349 · open +$63
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$293
Realized−$349
Unrealized+$63
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses22 / 45
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions21
Markets (closed)67 / 93
History coverage104d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 21 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$291
7 days−$277
14 days−$277
30 days−$277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 30¢ 100¢ $15 $50 +$35 (+232%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 100¢ $10 $21 +$11 (+107%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 62¢ 63¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Yes 28¢ 100¢ $5 $18 +$13 (+256%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 78¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+72%)
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 16¢ 26¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+65%)
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 57¢ 60¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 46¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-24%)
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 41¢ 44¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Florian Wirtz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Will Haiti concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 17¢ 9¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-48%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner SemperFi Esports 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 30¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$29 +280%
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Breel Embolo: 2+ goals Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $152 −$150 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$101 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $112 −$109 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$14 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $22 −$22 -97%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $18 −$17 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$16 +158%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$42 +413%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $25 +$29 +114%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$12 +58%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$48 +473%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $56 +$103 +184%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$11 +56%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $48 +$116 +243%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$14 +139%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 Winner Mar 02 $92 −$92 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 02 $65 −$23 -35%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 02 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Mar 02 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage Mar 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Mar 02 $10 +$21 +207%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner Mar 02 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 Winner Mar 02 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 02 $70 +$12 +17%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Mar 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$276
other 12% +$1
crypto 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 41¢ $10 4m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 4m
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 30¢ $15 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $39 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will B BUY 13¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 19¢ $5 3h
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals SELL Yes 100¢ $10 3h
Breel Embolo: 2+ goals BUY Yes 21¢ $5 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Wi BUY 16¢ $10 4h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 38¢ $51 5h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 22¢ $26 5h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 41¢ $25 6h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 57¢ $51 7h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 55¢ $51 7h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 15¢ $26 7h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 29¢ $26 7h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 59¢ $25 7h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 66¢ $25 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 3¢ $8 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 8¢ $21 10h
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S BUY Yes 16¢ $5 10h
Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou BUY Yes 17¢ $5 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 27¢ $20 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 26¢ $26 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $15 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 47¢ $37 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 26¢ $15 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -3.7% -12.8% 35% 35% -34.6%
≤30d 40 -3.7% -12.8% 35% 35% -34.6%
≤90d 40 -3.7% -12.8% 35% 35% -34.6%
all 67 -11.2% -19.6% 33% 33% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.6% 33% -27.7%
10% -27.3% 31% -34.7%
15% -34.3% 31% -41.0%
20% -40.8% 30% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $293.36 · official $303.57 · 183 history records