trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -42.0% | -47.5% | 38% | 23% | -2.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 52% | 38% | -1.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 52% | 38% | -1.3% |
| all | 21 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 52% | 38% | -1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.6% | 38% | -1.3% |
| 10% | -34.6% | 29% | -10.7% |
| 15% | -40.9% | 19% | -19.4% |
| 20% | -46.7% | 10% | -27.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-26%) |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Jun 26 | $328 | −$81 | -25% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | Jun 26 | $203 | −$79 | -39% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26? | Jun 26 | $149 | −$126 | -85% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | Jun 26 | $200 | −$197 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $3,216 | +$1,154 | +36% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 26 | $1,450 | +$44 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 26 | $2,663 | +$171 | +6% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $100 | +$35 | +35% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | Jun 24 | $200 | +$41 | +20% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Jun 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $40 | +$27 | +68% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $500 | +$258 | +52% |
| Will Lamine Yamal be in Spain's Starting 11? | Jun 15 | $161 | −$130 | -81% |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $47 | +$12 | +25% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $200 | +$14 | +7% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $150 | +$55 | +37% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | Jun 11 | $90 | +$19 | +21% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $50 | −$2 | -3% |