Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:26:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x013f…8d17 crypto 926 markets active 1h ago coverage 30d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,146 (-8%) realized −$1,491 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate55%510W / 416L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day59.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$319
7 days−$257
14 days−$444
30 days−$1,488
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,493
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -10.9% -19.4% 51% 49% -21.0%
≤30d 912 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 54% -19.6%
≤90d 926 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 54% -19.5%
all 926 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 54% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 54% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 51% -27.2%
15% -29.2% 47% -34.2%
20% -36.1% 43% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$14 · ×0.61 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,491
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses510 / 416
Open positions0
Markets (closed)926 / 926
History coverage30d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day59.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 926 Trades
no open positions (371 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$11 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$30 +66%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +67%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $72 −$70 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $75 −$71 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$34 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$27 +75%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$19 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$37 +89%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $14 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $15 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $10 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $77 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $14 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $46 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1934 history records