Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x012f…6d43
crypto · 410 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
+$2,786 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,786 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,786
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses184 / 226
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions0
Markets (closed)410 / 410
History coverage20d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day143.5
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 410 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,593
7 days+$2,298
14 days+$2,675
30 days+$2,786
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $122 −$24 -19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $40 −$14 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$2,663
sports 18% +$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $61 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $78 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $136 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $57 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $161 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $99 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $198 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 +2.0% -7.7% 47% 46% +3.3%
≤30d 410 -0.3% -9.8% 45% 44% +3.6%
≤90d 410 -0.3% -9.8% 45% 44% +3.6%
all 410 -0.3% -9.8% 45% 44% +3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover143.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 44% +3.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 39% -6.3%
15% -26.3% 35% -15.3%
20% -33.5% 27% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records