Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:45:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
01 0x012d…9db6 crypto 1090 markets active 16h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,704 (-9%) realized −$4,704 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate64%855W / 476L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day99.6pace
Fees−$586est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 29d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 89% +$254
crypto 9% −$206
other 2% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -78.7% -80.8% 11% 10% -85.5%
≤30d 1331 -15.0% -23.1% 64% 33% -47.8%
≤90d 1331 -15.0% -23.1% 64% 33% -47.8%
all 1331 -15.0% -23.1% 64% 33% -47.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.1% 33% -47.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 12% -52.8%
15% -37.2% 6% -57.3%
20% -43.3% 3% -61.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -44% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -44% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -33% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$99 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.19 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,704
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses855 / 476
Est. fees paid−$586
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1331 / 1090
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$47
Trades / day99.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1331 Trades
no open positions (323 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Toledo Rockets vs. Ball State Cardinals (W) Jun 17 $40 −$32 -80%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra Jun 17 $146 −$146 -100%
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson Jun 17 $199 −$199 -100%
Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Pallacanestro Trieste Jun 17 $169 −$169 -100%
Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Tibo Colson Jun 17 $139 −$139 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers Jun 17 $80 −$80 -100%
Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek Jun 17 $110 −$110 -100%
Paris: Chloe Paquet vs Maya Joint Jun 17 $174 −$174 -100%
Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekh Jun 17 $158 −$160 -101%
Menorca: Raul Brancaccio vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 17 $169 −$169 -100%
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 R Jun 17 $69 −$69 -100%
Naples: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau Jun 17 $130 −$130 -100%
BC Dubai vs. Anadolu Efes Jun 17 $230 −$230 -100%
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 17 $256 −$256 -100%
Yokkaichi: Sho Shimabukuro vs Naoya Honda Jun 17 $100 −$102 -102%
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04? Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Jun 17 $400 −$400 -100%
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Mili Poljicak Jun 17 $158 −$158 -100%
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolina Jun 17 $185 −$185 -100%
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Wonju DB Promy vs. Seoul Thunders Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 17 $183 −$183 -100%
Monaco vs. Paris Basketball Jun 17 $150 −$150 -100%
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon Jun 17 $151 −$151 -100%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Ch Jun 17 $177 −$177 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda Jun 17 $279 −$279 -100%
Istanbul: Maxim Mrva vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 17 $185 −$185 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria Jun 17 $180 −$180 -100%
Madrid: Sergi Perez Contri vs Arthur Gea Jun 17 $193 −$193 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs McCartney Kessler Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 17 $117 −$119 -102%
Kings vs. Raptors Jun 17 $169 −$169 -100%
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Jun 17 $110 −$79 -72%
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Ducks Jun 17 $131 −$131 -100%
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Gustavo Heide Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13? Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eagles Jun 17 $222 −$222 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 17 $380 −$380 -100%
Cherbourg: Pavel Kotov vs Filippo Romano Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Miami Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptiste Jun 17 $56 −$96 -171%
Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jong Jun 17 $80 −$81 -101%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08? Jun 17 $110 −$110 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal Jun 17 $64 −$64 -100%
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Ma Jun 17 $114 −$114 -100%
Sarasota: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Clement Tabur Jun 17 $96 −$96 -100%
Oeiras 4: Zdenek Kolar vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 17 $155 −$155 -100%
Wuning 2: Alastair Gray vs Alexandr Binda Jun 17 $199 −$199 -100%
LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 72¢ $10 15h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 67¢ $5 16h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 65¢ $10 16h
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva BUY Alexander Zverev 88¢ $20 16h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 75¢ $10 16h
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva BUY Alexander Zverev 74¢ $10 16h
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva BUY Alexander Zverev 75¢ $20 16h
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva BUY Alexander Zverev 77¢ $20 16h
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang BUY Madison Keys 65¢ $10 21h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 82¢ $10 22h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito SELL Petra Marcinko 100¢ $227 23h
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva BUY Alexander Zverev 94¢ $50 23h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 82¢ $121 23h
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchova BUY Karolina Muchova 71¢ $141 23h
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang BUY Madison Keys 73¢ $141 23h
Nottingham Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 54¢ $25 41h
Nottingham Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 63¢ $10 41h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 60¢ $10 42h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 67¢ $10 42h
Nottingham Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 66¢ $141 43h
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro SELL Emma Navarro 50¢ $85 45h
Poznan: Facundo Acosta vs Franco Roncadelli BUY Facundo Acosta 82¢ $133 46h
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 76¢ $132 46h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 87¢ $105 46h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 74¢ $146 2d
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $213 3d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 27¢ $2 3d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 48¢ $102 3d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 17¢ $10 3d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 25¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records