Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:02:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0127…3ef6
crypto · 393 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$273 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$181 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses263 / 130
Open positions0
Markets (closed)393 / 393
History coverage104d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day27.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$30
14 days−$53
30 days−$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $107 −$11 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $210 −$14 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $66 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $14 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 07 $27 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 07 $91 −$9 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 05 $85 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 05 $78 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 05 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 30 $30 −$6 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 30 $60 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 30 $49 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 30 $110 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 30 $84 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 30 $73 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 30 $48 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 30 $34 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 25 $122 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 25 $57 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 25 $135 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 25 $23 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 25 $153 −$10 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 25 $100 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 25 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 25 $28 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 25 $161 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Mar 18 $6 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Mar 18 $56 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Mar 18 $53 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Mar 18 $72 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 18 $30 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Mar 18 $41 −$5 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$181
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -32.8% -39.2% 27% 0% -13.4%
≤30d 44 -16.1% -24.1% 27% 5% -13.9%
≤90d 85 -10.5% -19.0% 34% 11% -12.6%
all 393 +1.8% -7.9% 67% 40% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 40% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 10% -19.9%
15% -24.8% 2% -27.6%
20% -32.2% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records