Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

01
0x0116…7e16
sports · 70 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$8 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses68 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)69 / 70
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 99¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Stuttgart Open: Roman Safiullin vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Roman Safiullin 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 99¢ $5 2m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 99¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 98¢ $4 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 94¢ $4 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 83¢ $4 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 99¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 98¢ $4 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 95¢ $4 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 99¢ $4 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 96¢ $4 4h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Robin Montgomery 98¢ $5 4h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Zachary Svajda 99¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 88¢ $5 5h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 99¢ $5 5h
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 98¢ $5 5h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 98¢ $5 6h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 83¢ $5 22h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 99¢ $5 23h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 99¢ $5 23h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 97¢ $4 24h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 86¢ $4 24h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 96¢ $4 25h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 94¢ $4 25h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 95¢ $4 25h
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Darja Vidmanova 98¢ $4 26h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 99¢ $4 26h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 96¢ $4 27h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 97¢ $4 27h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ $4 27h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 97¢ $4 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 10% -7.4%
≤30d 69 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 10% -7.4%
≤90d 69 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 10% -7.4%
all 69 +2.6% -7.1% 99% 10% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.1% 10% -7.4%
10% -16.0% 0% -16.2%
15% -24.1% 0% -24.3%
20% -31.6% 0% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.63 · official $4.63 (match) · 139 history records