trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 80% | 20% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 80% | 20% | -5.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 80% | 20% | -5.9% |
| all | 6 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 67% | 17% | -5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 17% | -5.9% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -14.9% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -23.2% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -30.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5 | Under | 94¢ | 94¢ | $96 | $95 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 94¢ | $13 | $14 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $92 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIF | Jun 21 | $52 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA Worl | Jun 20 | $37 | +$4 | +11% |
| Will the announcers say "Captain" during the England vs Croatia FIFA W | Jun 17 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11? | Jun 17 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Nov 05 | $0 | $0 | -21% |