Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:48:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00f8…153b
crypto · 945 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,524 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,231 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$122
Realized−$4,231
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses478 / 728
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1206 / 945
History coverage13d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day260.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 1206 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,576
7 days−$5,107
14 days−$4,231
30 days−$4,231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? No 26¢ 24¢ $45 $42 −$3 (-6%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? No 35¢ 34¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-4%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? No 41¢ 40¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? No 47¢ 46¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$21 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$47 -2371%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 7AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$27 +532%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,560
world 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $54 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $80 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $14 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $38 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $195 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $18 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $6 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $84 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $16 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $36 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $8 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 860 -32.2% -38.6% 33% 32% -29.8%
≤30d 1206 -20.0% -27.6% 40% 38% -21.0%
≤90d 1206 -20.0% -27.6% 40% 38% -21.0%
all 1206 -20.0% -27.6% 40% 38% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover260.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.6% 38% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 37% -28.6%
15% -40.9% 34% -35.5%
20% -46.7% 30% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $121.50 · official $121.50 (match) · 3500 history records